It’s been too long since I’ve posted and I apologize. I have been distracted by other projects, but also I haven’t quite known how to respond to world events. It seems too much to process and sometimes it’s easier to keep doing life one foot in front of the other.
It is sad to write as the world tries to come to grips with the terrible devastation in Haiti. Many people are wondering, are the number of earthquakes increasing? The USGS (US Geologic Service) website claims that it only appears that the number is increasing because we have more equipment now to detect earthquakes. They claim that the number of really big earthquakes has remained constant. I’m going to use a parallel example to show why that’s not true.
Last week I read an article in a Christian magazine (I can’t cite this properly because I don’t have the magazine! Sorry!) about how the best, longterm study on the healing effects of prayer had come up with disappointing results. The study was done by Harvard and they had heart surgery patients placed in three categories: prayed for and knew it, prayed for and didn’t know it, not prayed for and didn’t know it. The crazy thing is that those who were prayed for and knew it did the poorest. Those prayed for and didn’t know it, did poor too, and the best group was those not being prayed for! Of course, all of this was controlled in the best scientific methods and the results came out with very strong, conclusive results.
Here’s what I absolutely love about this: if God had chosen to prove the effectiveness of prayer by doing what was asked, namely to heal these patients, we would then have doctors writing prescriptions for healing prayer as though it was something you ordered from the local drug church. If God had chosen to ignore the request altogether, we would then have a bunch of self-satisfied scientists with proof that faith healing is a figment of our imagination. Or God could do exactly the opposite of what was asked, He could withold supernatural, even natural, healing from these patients. What does that accomplish? Well, scientifically you have to admit that something happens when Christians pray. The study is designed so that the results are extremely unlikely to ever happen by chance. However, you have to admit that God is ultimately the one who decides how to answer prayer. Yes, the prayer of a righteous person is effective!
What on earth does that have to do with earthquakes? Well, all the data that I see suggest that the number of earthquakes is increasing. But the scientists assure us that this is merely a figment of our imagination, or rather a figment of more measuring instruments. So what does God do? Exactly the opposite. He witholds earthquakes for a year. Yes, last year had the fewest earthquakes in at least 20 years, maybe longer but I don’t have data any farther back. Actually, I should be more accurate in my claim — last Hebrew year had the fewest earthquakes in over 20 years. Not the fewest by a little, but 25% fewer than even the lowest year. Since the Hebrew new year began in September 2009, the average number of earthquakes over 6 has jumped by about 30%.
You simply can’t explain a lack of earthquakes by saying that we have more equipment to measure them with.
From 1990-1999, the number of earthquakes over 8 was 0.5/ year. From 2000-2009, the number of earthquakes over 8 was 1.3/ year. That’s still not very many HUGE earthquakes, but that’s a real change.
Jesus said that in the last days, there would be earthquakes in various places (Matthew 24:7,8). Just because there has been changes in the number of earthquakes doesn’t mean Jesus is coming tomorrow. How many earthquakes would qualify? A major earthquake every month, every week, every day? Interestingly, the data also show that the number of people who have died in earthquakes has rising over the past 30 years from a high in the 1980’s of about 20,000, 1990’s high of about 50,000 (in 1990) to numbers like 82,000 (2005), 88,000 (2008) and 228,000 (2004). Not that history doesn’t speak of terrible and deadly earthquakes, but there is a consistency here that we have never witnessed before.
All we can say, we are moving closer to the Day. How close no one can say.